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Sunday, April 11, 2021

KSE100 Week 14-2021 : More Auctions Pain!

Not much to say in this delayed update other than reiterating views from last week's post. I had been extremely busy with new innovations in stock analysis. Trying to ditch charts for some time and develop better scientific methods to analyze stocks. Other than that, I have hurt my fingers in a small domestic mishap and knocked out of typing for few days. It is really an inconvenience when your right-hand goes out of service! 

The market is expected to remain unstable and the major levels are already marked on the chart we share every week. Its gets boring, having to repeat the same mantra during these correction cycles. Weekly closing observed a net loss of -208.43 points or -0.46%



Average weekly capitalization fell by -21.81 Bn/PKR as govt auctions continue to eat liquidity away from the equities market and the monster is not likely to stop until it has done its quota of four trillion/PKR. Dates of further pain ahead are PIB auction on 13-Apr, 21-Apr, and MTB auction on 22-Apr. Brace for impact and prepare for more pain as the debt monster just got bigger, better, and stronger! ( SBP sets auction target of Rs.5.525 trillion for next three months )


We are attempting to build a data model of SBP operations to gauge their impact on the equities market. The job is complex and needs lots of data accumulation manually. But when there is a will there is a way! If you enjoyed reading this update, do let us know in the comments below and watch our next update for something new and revealing.






37 comments:

  1. Always your prediction about market is upto the mark.

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  2. Get well soon ! Master you once said that stocks have their own cycle which they have to follow..so do you think that rizvi’s arrest and other political instabilities will have impact on stock market???

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  3. Sir it will be great to build a data model of SBP operations, it will give us more clarity equity market

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  4. Appreciate your efforts & thank you master for this helpful information

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  5. Your efforts are so good. Keep it up

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  6. Like you said in your blog, similarly its difficult to discuss anything because it's same story now in the market. Except for the thrillers of sudden falls. Any how, its the best time to develop that scientific Algo which you are working on very hard. Best of luck

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  7. So this indicates decline in index. Thus sell on strength! Thanks master

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  8. Much appreciated your input and innovation in new technologies. Good Luck 👍

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  9. Auction pain is a good insight especially SBP targets

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  10. Fantastic article as always and get well soon...

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  11. Great analysis!
    I hope we see a rise and shine in the mkt soon.

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  12. Fantastic article as always and get well soon

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  13. Thanks for the update master. Hope you get well soon. Stay blessed.

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  14. I like the your way of analysis it shows your business mind capability.Most of the people in stock market don't have business mind they are just doing SATTA but i am learning lot of things from your analysis

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  15. Individuals gonna burn on 13, 21 and 22

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  16. So index will decline and will remain volatile.
    Love to read your blog n alaysis. Always spot on!

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  17. Very realistic approach towards pax.very informative in understanding the behavior of pax. Thanks for guidance

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  18. get well soon brother.
    really enjoyed the update

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  19. Thankyou for providing us with the outlook on pain yet to come lol :D This way I am able to prepare alot better. Appreciated :D

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  20. Great to see extraordinary innovations!! Hope to see further enlightening posts like these to stay prepared!

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  21. Good read. Hope your fingers heal soon

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  22. Brilliant analysis, Master. Like always! Keep up the phenomenal work.

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  23. Really good work👏
    Thank you sir

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